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Chris Jones (57)
Chris Jones

Stocks-n-Options.com

Stock Trading -Failed Signals

Posted Saturday, March 08, 2008 (1 year 259 days ago.) Viewed 51 times.

Failed signals may be the most reliable signals of all. Have you ever bought a stock, knowing that it was going to be a very profitable trade? I mean, it had to be the perfect trade. It looked as if it came right out of the text book. You know, the perfect set up, the perfect formation, everything is lined up perfectly. You just can’t miss with this one. But, shortly after you bought it, the bottom fell out. Well, you stepped right into a Bull Trap.

What is a Bull Trap?

After a technical buy signal occurs, price tends to jump because so many people are watching the same thing you are, waiting for that buy signal to trigger their purchase of the stock. Occasionally, price will move up enough to draw people in, but not enough to continue the advance. Price drops back down triggering the stops that were placed just below the last swing low, further accelerating the downward spiral, so all of those people that were bullish stepped right into a trap. Once the selloff reaches this point, others with long positions sell when they see this move has momentum, continuing the descent. But, that’s not the only type of failed signal. There is also the Bear Trap.

What is a Bear Trap?

Well, I think you have already figured this one out. Yes, a Bear Trap is just the opposite of a Bull Trap. Instead of the trap catching people who have taken a long position, this time it traps people who have taken short positions. Many people will short a stock when a sell signal is triggered, but when the stock turns bullish those traders have to cover their positions, fueling the bullish bias.

Trading a Failed Signal

Usually, when traders find themselves on the wrong side of a trade, they just want to get out of that trade and move on to the next one, hoping they will trade on the winning side next time. But, if we are smart, we will cut our losses and change our position to the other side of the trade. Why try to find another trade, when a failed signal is a legitimate signal itself. Failed signals are probably the most reliable of all, and sometimes they just may be our best choice for winning trades.


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Stock Trading - Anyone Can Do It

Posted Sunday, March 02, 2008 (1 year 265 days ago.) Viewed 47 times.

That's right I said anyone. Yes, even you. You don't have to be highly educated, you just have to educate yourself in the right things. I believe that if you have the will and desire you can do it. The biggest mistake that people make, is they jump into trading without knowing what they are doing. The market is licking it's chops, just waiting for these poor souls to buy at the end of a rally, or sell at bottom of a downtrend. Yep, they end up buying when they should be selling and selling when they should be buying.

Why? Because they just don't understand the market, and they let their emotions rule their trading. They need a trading plan and a good set of trading rules. Some traders have a good plan and set of rules, but greed and fear enter the picture, and before they know it they're in a losing trade. They think that if they hold on just a little longer, things will turn around and their losing trade will become a winner. Does this sound familiar? If you've been trading very long it probably does. If you are new to the market, then learn from those of us who have made these mistakes. Proverbs 9:9 says Give instruction to a wise man, and he will be yet wiser: teach a just man, and he will increase in learning. If you don't take to heart what I'm saying you will have to learn from your own mistakes, or you will get frustrated and just give up.

Trading is not rocket science. Shoot, a poor trading plan with the right rules can be very profitable. Now, I'm not saying that you don't need a good trading plan. What I am saying is that if you abide by a sound set of rules, and don't deviate from them, you can be successful. Even the best traders have bad trades. But, they know how to cut their losses and make the most of their winners.

You have to pick a trading plan that is right for you. Once you have your plan, its time to write down your rules. Here are a few you might consider.

1. Maximize your profits, not the number of trades.

2. Don't risk more than 5% of your capital.

3. Be patient and wait for the best trades.

4. Be patient, and don't close a profitable position too early.

5. Don't be married to your first opinion about a trade. If the trade turns bad, get out! Don't wait! Move on to the next trade!

6. Know when your going to sell before you enter a trade.

7. Don't hold on to a losing trade. Cut your losses early, and protect your profits with trailing stops.

8. Buy at support, sell at resistance. So many people are watching support and resistance that it effects price movement.

9. Don't buy up into a major moving average or sell down into one.

10. Exhaustion gaps get filled. Breakaway and continuation gaps don't.

11. The trend is your friend. Don't trade against it.

12. Don't trade at the open. Wise traders wait before entering the market.

13. Beat the crowd in and out of a trade. Take their money before they take yours.

14. Never add to a losing position!

15. Sell markets that show the most weakness; buy markets that show the most strength.

16. Do more of what is working and do less of what is not.

17. Trade active stocks, avoid thinly traded stocks.

OK, now you might think that all you have to do is have a trading plan and a set of rules, and you'll be ready to make your millions. Wrong! I have two more things that you should do. First, before you put your own money at risk, you should paper trade. You should be able to trade profitably on paper before you even think about trading with your hard earned money. Second, continue your stock trading education. The more you learn the better you'll trade.



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Stock Market Trading Secret

Posted Sunday, March 02, 2008 (1 year 265 days ago.) Viewed 48 times.

Let me share with you a trading secret that can make you rich. This secret has been used for decades by some of the top traders. You might wonder why these traders would be so secretive, and not share their great knowledge with all of us. Well, to be honest with you, they did share it with us. Many times they spoke about and wrote about this trading rule.

W. D. Gann said "You can make a fortune by following this one rule alone."

Burton Pugh called it "one of the most valuable of market habits and the trader should follow and profit by this most dependable of all market laws."

So, why doesn't everybody listen to these great sages of Wall Street? To tell you the truth I don't know, maybe it's because this trading rule is so simple that it gets overlooked. I find that people often think that if something is this simple it couldn't possibly work. Well, I have some advice for them. Don't over complicate things, "KISS" (Keep It Simple Silly).

OK, so you want to know what this great Stock Market secret is? It's the 50% Rule. Simply put, a stock often retraces 50% of the previous price movement. This rule works in an upward trending as well as a downward trending market.

Let's imagine that ABC stock started its most recent run at $10 and advanced to $20 before it began to pull back. A buy order would be put at $15 (50% of the previous move). A stop could then be placed just below the 62% retracement. Many of you will recognize these as Fibonacci Retracement Lines, and you would be correct. Traders were using the 50% rule before anybody ever associated it with Fibonacci. I'm not telling you that price will always retrace back to the 50% mark. No, sometimes price might not make it all the way to the 50% mark, and sometimes it might move past it, somewhere between 50% and 62%. You get the picture.

This rule works at amazing regularity. Just remember, that if a stock is in a trading range, or currently in the process of forming a chart pattern, the 50% rule will not apply.

Most charting services have a Fibonacci Retracement Tool that draws the 38%, 50%, and 62% lines, making it very easy for you to draw the lines without having to do any figuring. Keep the 50% rule in mind. Check for it on historical charts. You will be amazed how often it occurs and how well it works.



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Channeling Stocks – A Simple, Effective Strategy

Posted Sunday, March 02, 2008 (1 year 265 days ago.) Viewed 400 times.

Channeling Stocks (or Rolling Stocks) can be a very accurate and reliable trading strategy that will provide the trader with exact entry and exit points.

When a stock repeatedly moves up and down in waves between two parallel lines it is said to be channeling or rolling. A line is drawn across the highs, and one across the lows. This forms the channel. The upper line is referred to as the resistance line and the lower line is referred to as the support line. Some traders choose to trade within the channel and will enter or exit the trade as price draws near the support or resistance line. Others prefer to trade breakouts, entering or exiting the trade, once it breaks out of the channel.

One of the greatest benefits of this strategy is that it gives us precise entry and exit points. Greed and fear are a trader's worst enemies, but emotions have no place in a system that employs strict buy and sell signals, along with stop loss or trailing stop orders.

These are the three types of channels: the ascending channel, the descending channel, and the horizontal channel. The ascending channel is a rising channel that is identified by higher highs and higher lows. The descending is a downward channel that is identified by lower highs and lower lows. And, the horizontal channel (also known as the rectangle channel), is identified by horizontal highs and lows.

There are several ways to trade channels:

-Trade in the direction of the channel. Long positions can be entered in ascending channels, riding the price upward until the support line of the channel is broken. Short positions can be entered in descending channel, exiting, once price has broken through the resistance line.

-Trade within the channel. Long positions are entered as price bounces off the support line, and sold close to the resistance line. Shorts are entered as price bounces off the resistance line, and covered close to the support line.

-Trade channel breakouts. This strategy doesn't provide an exit point. Longs are entered as price breaks through the resistance line and shorts can be entered when price breaks through the support line.

Check for channels in different time frames. Many times you can predict when a channel will be broken, by checking other time frames. The channel that you are currently trading in one time frame may be an advance or decline within a channel of a longer time frame. Choose the appropriate time frame for your particular type of trading: weekly or monthly charts for long term trading, daily charts for short term or swing trading, intra day charts for day trading.

Channel trading is a very simple, yet effective strategy that works well for the beginner as well as professional traders. As you should, with any new strategy, paper trade, before you add channel trading to your trading toolbox.


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