There are at least two indicators that the Democratic nominee will win the presidency this fall. The first is the fact many more people have participated in the Democratic primaries and caucuses than in the corresponding nominating contests conducted by the Republicans. There just seems to be more enthusiasm for the Democrats this time. The second is the poll released last week in which Americans indicated that they are worse off now than they were eight years ago. That kind of sentiment is almost always an omen of a change of parties at the White House.
Of course, this will mean that several previously red states will turn blue this fall. Florida and Ohio, both of which voted Republican in the last two presidential elections, will likely go for the Democratic nominee this time around. If just one of them switches, the Democrats would win the White House, assuming all the other states vote as they did four years ago. Also, consistent GOP-voting states like Virginia and North Carolina might fall to the Democrats in November.
Terry Mitchell is a software engineer, freelance writer, amateur political analyst, and blogger from Virginia, USA. He posts a least one article a day to his blog - http://commenterry.blogs.com - on subjects such as current events, politics, technology, society and culture, religion, health and well-being, self improvement, personal finance, trivia, and sports.
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» left by Michael Kocis(1,060) Michael Kocis (1 year 200 days ago.)
Hi Terry, two factors that may change that outcome are the fact that there are months to go before the general election and A LOT will happen between now and then and it does seem that the democratic party are eating themselves on a daily basis.
This election is slightly different than most and if we voted today yes they may win, but what if the very powerful clinton machine pulls off a surprise before Denver? If anyone could do it it's them.
Many democrates are going to be very angry, plus the closer to the real thing we get maybe the more Americans will get out their calculaters and figure out that what the dems say they want to do just doesn't add up. Respond to this comment
» left by Terry Mitchell(4,697) Terry Mitchell (1 year 200 days ago.)
Michael, you make some excellent points. The general election is still more than seven months away and, as we all know, things can change very quickly in politics (just ask President John Kerry). The points I made just applied that snapshot in time called now. They may not be valid anymore in several months or even a few weeks. I wouldn't bet any money on any particular candidate or party right now. Respond to this comment
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