The thumping Hillary Clinton took in North Carolina last week means that, even though she squeaked out a narrow victory in Indiana, she lost ground to Barack Obama in both pledged delegates and popular votes as a result of those primaries. That was something she could not afford at this point. Now it is all but impossible for her make up her deficit in delegates, even if those from Florida and Michigan are seated at the convention.
Her only chance now is to convince the super delegates to throw the nomination to her. However, this is not going to happen. She will use the electability argument, but to no avail. There is no way the super delegates are going to disregard Obama's superior numbers in pledged delegates and popular votes just because Hillary is doing slightly better than he against John McCain in some current hypothetical polls. Hillary will fight on until the primaries are over on June 3, but her realistic chances of capturing the nomination have already come to an end.
That giant sucking sound you will soon be hearing will not have anything to do with NAFTA. And no, Ross Perot, it will have nothing to do with American jobs heading to Mexico. Actually, it will be the sound of super delegates being pulled (as if by some astronomical suction process) toward Barack Obama, some of them out of Hillary Clinton's own pocket. Since Obama's big victory in North Carolina and narrow loss in Indiana, super delegates have been trickling his way. And it won't be long before that trickle turns into an avalanche.
Clinton seems to believe that her expected big win Tuesday in West Virginia will reverse this trend, or at least stem the flow. However, it could have the opposite effect. Some super delegates, worried that it might muddle and prolong the nomination battle even more, might feel the need to rush to Obama's rescue and end this thing as soon as possible. Poor Hillary Clinton. At this point she just can't win. But don't feel sorry for her. When she had her chance, she blew it.
Terry Mitchell is a software engineer, freelance writer, amateur political analyst, and blogger from Virginia, USA. He posts a least one article a day to his blog - http://commenterry.blogs.com - on subjects such as current events, politics, technology, society and culture, religion, health and well-being, self improvement, personal finance, trivia, and sports. His commentaries offer a unique point of view that is not often found in mainstream media. His articles here on SearchWarp represent only a small portion of his work. All of it can be found on his blog. If you like his articles, you'll love his blog.
» left by robert melaccio sr (115 days 4 hours ago.)
Ok Terry, you are a logical fellow and my commenst are not directed solely at you. Just what difference will it make if it is Hillary or Obama? Now if Hillary gets in and she fails she will set back the womans cause for decades. The same holds true for Obama and the black cause. lets hope when they get in they do what 81% of us want them to do. Do you really think they will? Do you really and that goes for anyone reading this that is for them. So by their record mind you, why would you think they will bring change? It seems when I ask no one ever answers except they like the package, the Easter Bunny. No offense but they are all Easter Bunnies to me. I'm not talking personal I'm talking leaders who do what is right for the common good of all. That word all is really significant. Good job, best wishes.
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